Forging An Optimized Bayesian Network Model With Selected Parameters For Detection of The Coronavirus In Delta State of Nigeria
Viewed = 273 time(s)
Abstract
Machine learning algorithm have become veritable tools for effective decision support towards the construction of systems that assist experts (individuals) in their field of exploits and endeavor with regards to problematic tasks.. They are best suited for tasks where data is explored and exploited; and cases where the dataset contains noise, partial truth, ambiguities and in cases where there is shortage of datasets. For this study, we employ the Bayesian network to construct a model trained towards a target system that can help predict best parameters used for classification of the novel coronavirus (covid-19). Data was collected from Federal Medical Center Epidemiology laboratory (a centralized databank for all cases of the covid-19 in Delta State). Data was split into training and investigation (test) dataset for the target system. Results show high predictive capability.
Downloads
References
World Health Organization. WHO Director-General’s Opening Remarks at the Media Briefing on COVID-19-11, March 2020; World Health Organization: Geneva, Switzerland, 2020.
World Health Organization. Coronavirus Disease (COVID-2019) Situation Reports. Available online: https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/situation-reports (accessed on 2March 2020).
Adegboye, O.; Adekunle, A.; Pak, A.; Gayawan, E.; Leung, D.; Rojas, D.; Elfaki, F.; McBryde, E.; Eisen, D. Change in outbreak epicenter and impact on importation risks of COVID-19 progression: modelling study. medRxiv 2020. [CrossRef]
Martinez-Alvarez,M.; Jarde, A.; Usuf, E.; Brotherton,H.; Bittaye,M.; Samateh, A.L.; Antonio,M.; Vives-Tomas, J.; D’Alessandro, U.; Roca, A. COVID-19 pandemic in west Africa. Lancet Glob. Health 2020. [CrossRef]
Gilbert, M.; Pullano, G.; Pinotti, F.; Valdano, E.; Poletto, C.; Boëlle, P.-Y.; D’Ortenzio, E.; Yazdanpanah, Y.; Eholie, S.P.; Altmann, M. Preparedness and vulnerability of African countries against importations of COVID-19: A modelling study. Lancet 2020, 395, 871–877. [CrossRef]
Adegboye, O., Adekunle, A, Gayawan, E., Early transmission dynamics of novel COVID-19, Int. J. Environmental Research and Public Health, medRxiv 2020. [CrossRef]
Anjorin, A.A., More preparedness on coronavirus disease-2019 (covid-19) in Nigeria, Anjorin Pan African J. Life Sciences, 4, 200-203, 2020
Moti, U.G., Vambe, J.T., Responding to coronavirus pandemic in Nigeria: the policy dilemma of a vulnerable nation – a review, In. J. of Health, Safety and Environment, 6(4), 526 – 533, 2020.
Obeta MU, Ejinaka RO, Ofor I.B. Nigeria is Next Destination of COVID-19 Patients Across Globe, But Strategic Plan for Medical Labs is in Pipeline. 2020, 8(4), AJBSR.MS.ID.001295. DOI: 10.34297/AJBSR.2020.08.001295.
Ojugo, A.A., Enye, U.I., Predicting the spread propagation of the covid-19 pandemic in Nigeria with special focus on the Niger-Delta, Unpublished Tech. Report of Federal Univ. of Petroleum Resources Effurun, TRON-475, 14: pp45 – 56, 2020
H. Singh, et al., "A Bayesian approach to reliability prediction and assessment of component based systems," 2001, pp.12-21
R. Roshandel, et al., "A Bayesian model for predicting reliability of software system at architectural level" Software Arch., Components and Applications, pp. 108-126, 2007.
D. Delen, et al., "Predicting breast cancer survivability: a comparison of three data mining methods," Artificial intelligence in medicine, vol. 34, pp. 113-127, 2005.
S. Russell, et al., "A modern approach," Artificial Intelligence. Prentice-Hall, Egnlewood Cliffs, 1995.
N. Friedman, et al., "Using Bayesian networks to analyze expression data," J. of Comp. Biology, vol. 7, pp. 601-620, 2000.
J. Kazmierska and J. Malicki, "Application of the Naive Bayesian Classifier to optimize treatment decisions," Radiother Oncol, vol. 86, pp. 211-6, 2008.
Ojugo, A.A. Eboka, A.O, Comparative evaluation for performance adaptive model for spam phishing detection, Digital Technologies, 3(1): pp9–15, 2018
Ojugo, A.A., Otakore, D.O., An intelligent Bayesian net to improve performance and dependability analysis of a campus network, unpublished article submitted for publication to the IAES Int. J. of Artificial Intelligence, 2020
Ojugo, A.A., Otakore, D.O., Intelligent cluster connectionist recommender system using Implicit graph friendship algorithm for social networks, Int. Journal of Artificial Intelligence, 9(3): pp429-439, 2020, doi: 10.11591/ijai.v9.i3.pp429-439
Ojugo, A.A., Otakore, D.O., Computational solution of networks versus cluster groupings for social network contacts: a recommender system, Int. J. of Info. & Comm. Tech., 9(3): pp13 – 27, 2020, doi: 10.11591/ijict.v9i3
Ali, A. Elfaki, M., Jawawi, D.N.A., Using Naïve Bayes and Bayesian Network for prediction of potential problematic cases in tuberculosis, Int. J. Info. Comm. Tech., 1(2), 63-71, 2012
Ojugo, A.A., F. Aghware., R.E. Yoro., M.O. Yerokun., A. Eboka., C. Anujeonye., F. Efozia., Predicting behavioural evolution on a graph-based model, Advances in Networks, 3(2): pp8-21, 2015.
Ojugo, A.A., I.P. Okobah., Prevalence rate of hepatitis-B virus infection in Niger Delta region of Nigeria using graph-based diffusion heuristic model, IJCAOnline Int. J. Computer Application, 179(39): pp27–33, 2018
N. Friedman, et al., "Using Bayesian networks to analyze expression data," J. Comp. Biology, vol. 7, pp. 601-620, 2000.
J. Kazmierska and J. Malicki, "Application of Naive Bayesian Classifier to optimize treatment decisions," Radiother Oncol, vol. 86, pp. 211-6, 2008.
J. H. Lin and P. J. Haug, "Exploiting missing clinical data in Bayesian network modeling for predicting medical problems," Journal of biomedical informatics, vol. 41, pp. 1-14, 2008.
L. Mahgoub, "On Building predication system for public Health-A Comparative Study Using SNTB programme " master, computer science, khartoum, khartoum, 2007.
R.R. Bouckaert. (2008). Bayesian Network Classifiers in Wekafor Version 3-5-7. Available: http://www.cs.waikato.ac.nz/~remco/weka_bn/index.html
Z. Markov and I. Russell, "Probabilistic Reasoning with Naïve Bayes and Bayesian Networks," 2007.
Copyright (c) 2021 Arnold Ojugo, Oghenevwede Debby Otakore (Author)
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.